The Horizon Report isn’t the only place to find predictions about where technology will be in one, three, or five years. The New York Times notes that social software applications (chat tools, file sharing) for cell phones are nascent now, but that within five years, they’ll be more prevalent than Facebook.
One key reason why cell phones are going to explode in popularity with users? In developing countries, technology isn’t PC-centric. More people have mobile phones than computers. Want to get onto the Internet in a low-penetration country like Bangladesh? Chances are you’ll do it on a mobile phone service rather than a computer.